The purposed Downtown arena is dead. What? No one’s told you? Rio Rancho officially landed the New Mexico Wildcats. An arena football team in the American Indoor Football Association. Awesome. Double-A hockey and rookie league arena football in Rio Rancho — if you’re interested.
I’m all for a Downtown arena, but we shouldn’t be competing with Rio Rancho. A new arena in Albuquerque needs 19k to 23k seats. University Stadium holds 42k, The Pit: 18k, Isotopes Park: 12k, Tingley Coliseum: 11.5k, the convention center’s largest auditorium: 9k, Journal Pavilion: 9k, and the Santa Ana Star Center: 7.5k. So why on earth does the city want to build a 16k seat arena? That makes no sense. No offense to the T-Birds, but this city shouldn’t build a new arena for a D-League team. Concerts? No. We should not build arenas for concerts. Let LiveNation, Clear Channel and HOB take care of concert venues. Conventions? What can a 16k seat arena host that a 20k seat arena can’t?
I’m skeptical of anyone who supports the current arena proposal. There just isn’t a need for a 16k seat arena. Who stands to benefit from this thing? The developer gets a nice payday, elected officials get to give voters a shiny (albeit, unnecessary)
gift, and Albuquerque sports fans gets the same old minor league teams. Great deal, huh.
Economic revitalization? A 16k seat can’t touch the revitalization a 20k seat arena brings. Yes, you may get more conventions, but will Burqueños regularly attend minor league arena football games in their new pint sized arena? Uh, no. And who the hell cares about these ultra-minor league teams anyway? What kind of press do these clubs get? How do they contribute to enhancing Albuquerque’s image? Economic revitalization of Downtown? Why not look the whole city’s economic health? Will an af2 team really raise Albuquerque’s profile? Will major corporations see a CHL team as huge quality of life incentive — enough to relocate operations here? NO!
We aren’t competing (well, directly competing) with Dayton, Scantron, and Little Rock. In the Southwest we compete against Phoenix, Denver, Tuscon, El Paso, Las Vegas, and Salt Lake City. Phoenix and Denver have teams in all the big four sports leagues. Las Vegas has a gambling problem to settle before it enters those ranks (but they do have big time boxing and MMA). SLC has a NBA team, and — hello — they’ve hosted the Winter Olympics. So that leaves us in the company of Tuscon and El Paso for Southwestern metropolitan areas without a major sports franchise. El Paso is the 21st largest city in the country, followed by Tucson at 32nd and Albuquerque at 33rd. In terms of metropolitan areas, Tuscon is the 52nd largest in the county, Albuquerque place at 61st and El Paso at 68th. Albuquerque’s television market is 44th in the country, Tuscon is 68th, and El Paso is 99th. Albuquerque’s radio market is 69th, Tucson’s is 61st, and El Paso’s is 76th.
Unfortunately, C. H. Johnson never looked at Tucson or El Paso when creating its market analysis. Nope, they looked city’s shooting for af2 and CHL/ECHL franchises. Ugh. The closest city to Albuquerque (in distance and in sense of ‘metro area’) in Johnson’s analysis is Oklahoma City. Fine. Let’s look at the numbers and see what we get. According to Johnson’s Market Analysis, Albuquerque has a media market size of 1,707,100, and Oklahoma City has a media market size of 1,642,300. OKC has a population of 1,083,346, and Albuquerque has a population of 712,738. Whoa! A team in Albuquerque would have a bigger media market than a team in OKC despite a population difference of roughly 300k? Folks, this is kind of important. OKC doesn’t have a professional club in any of the four major sports leagues, at least not yet. When the NBA’s New Orleans Hornets were forced out of the Crescent City by Hurricane Katrina, they found themselves in OKC; in front of frenzied sellout crowds. The Hornets returned to New Orleans to help mend that city’s psyche, and rightfully so, but a group of OKC businessmen liked what they saw while the Hornets were in town. Light bulb! What did they do? Bought the Seattle Supersonics! What’s the deal with the Sonics? Their aging arena sucked! OKC could give them a first class NBA ready arena and fans. What can’t OKC give the Sonics? A market as large as Albuquerque’s!
Ok, here is where I have to remind myself to breathe. Deep breath. Good.
Yes, Albuquerque has a larger market than OKC despite its smaller population. The real problem, as C. H. Johnson points out, is that we lack large firms in Albuquerque. Our biggest employers include Kirtland Air Force Base, APS, and UNM. There is nothing wrong with that per se, it just… those kinds of employers don’t buy fancy suites. (Does anyone remember Sun Healthcare’s box at University Stadium? It put everything else to shame. Fifty yard line, outfitted in Ernst Thomas, televisions and catering… oh, baby. Too bad nobody tried to keep them HQ’d at One Sun Plaza. Nope. Now they’re in Orange County basking in the glory of recent World Series and Stanley Cup victories.) Ah, ha! We may not have the large firms usually necessary for a NBA or NHL sized arena, but we do have that waiting list for suites at Isotopes Park. We do, in fact, have a demand for suites in this town!
Reality check. I’m not going ‘Field of Dreams’ on you, but, if you build it, at least there is a chance they will come. A 16k seat arena? Whoopy! More conventions and Journey concerts. Great. Good for you, Albuquerque.
Ok, I have one more post on sports in Albuquerque that I’d like to write. What are you doing tomorrow around… say, at this time. Fantastic. See you then.
UPDATE: What was I thinking. It’s Friday. Yeah, right, I’m going to write a post. Ha! Let’s aim for tomorrow. Happy hour starts when?